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Ajax 2–2 PSV

Netherlands 1 on 2 May 2026. It finished level at 2–2. Our pre-match analysis made Ajax the 56% favourite, so this one went against the model.

NETHERLANDS 1 Sat 2 May · 20:00
Ajax
HOME
RESULT
2 - 2
PSV
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
56%
Draw
14%
Away
34%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Ajax
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
PSV
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
90%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
93%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Ajax 3W in last 5
  • PSV 3W in last 5
  • PSV 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Ajax strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Ajax's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. PSV's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 81%