Arouca 4–0 Moreirense

Portugal 1 on 16 August 2026. Arouca won at home, 4–0. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 46%, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL 1 Sun 16 Aug · 19:00

Arouca

HOME

RESULT

4 - 0

Moreirense

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

41%

Draw

46%

Away

13%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Arouca

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

47%

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

20%

KEY SIGNALS

Arouca 3W in last 5
Arouca strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Clean sheet potential in this matchup.

Arouca's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.

Confidence: 60%

Arouca 4–0 Moreirense

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