Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea

England Premier on 6 September 2026. Arsenal won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 50%, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND PREMIER Sun 6 Sep · 17:30

Arsenal

HOME

RESULT

2 - 1

Chelsea

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

18%

Draw

50%

Away

32%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

47%

WIN%

53%

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

53%

KEY SIGNALS

Arsenal 3W in last 4 at home
Chelsea 4W in last 5
Arsenal 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Chelsea 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.

Arsenal's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Chelsea's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 56%

Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea

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