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Atalanta 2–3 Athletic Bilbao

Champions League on 21 January 2026. Athletic Bilbao won away from home, 3–2. Our pre-match analysis made Atalanta the 51% favourite, so this one went against the model.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE Wed 21 Jan · 21:00
Atalanta
HOME
RESULT
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
51%
Draw
18%
Away
30%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Atalanta
Last 5 Games
O2.5
0%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
67%
Athletic Bilbao
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
33%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Atalanta 2W in last 3 at home
  • Athletic Bilbao 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Atalanta strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Atalanta's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Athletic Bilbao's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 69%