← Back to predictions

Atalanta 4–1 B. Dortmund

Champions League on 25 February 2026. Atalanta won at home, 4–1. Our pre-match analysis made B. Dortmund the 42% favourite, so this one went against the model.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE Wed 25 Feb · 18:45
Atalanta
HOME
RESULT
4 - 1
B. Dortmund
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
36%
Draw
22%
Away
42%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Atalanta
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
60%
B. Dortmund
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Atalanta 3W in last 3 at home
  • B. Dortmund 4W in last 5
  • B. Dortmund 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Atalanta strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Atalanta's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. B. Dortmund's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 75%