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Aucas 1–4 Macara

Ecuador 1 on 26 July 2026. Macara won away from home, 4–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 44%, so this one went against the model.

ECUADOR 1 Sun 26 Jul · 20:15
Aucas
HOME
RESULT
1 - 4
Macara
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
41%
Draw
44%
Away
15%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Aucas
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
60%
Macara
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Macara 4W in last 5
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Macara strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Clean sheet potential in this matchup.
Macara's strong recent away form makes them dangerous.
Confidence: 57%