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AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior

Netherlands 1 on 21 January 2026. It finished level at 1–1. Our pre-match analysis made AZ Alkmaar the 74% favourite, so this one went against the model.

NETHERLANDS 1 Wed 21 Jan · 18:45
AZ Alkmaar
HOME
RESULT
1 - 1
Excelsior
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
74%
Draw
10%
Away
16%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
AZ Alkmaar
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
47%
Excelsior
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
33%
KEY SIGNALS
  • AZ Alkmaar 2W in last 3 at home
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 79%