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Basel 1–2 Aston Villa

Europa League on 11 December 2025. Aston Villa won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Basel the 57% favourite, so this one went against the model.

EUROPA LEAGUE Thu 11 Dec · 21:00
Basel
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Aston Villa
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
57%
Draw
17%
Away
26%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Basel
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
33%
Aston Villa
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
100%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
87%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Basel 3W in last 5
  • Aston Villa 2W in last 2 at away
  • Basel 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Aston Villa 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Basel's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Aston Villa's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 75%