Basel 1–3 Lugano

Switzerland 1 on 6 September 2026. Lugano won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 45%, so this one went against the model.

SWITZERLAND 1 Sun 6 Sep · 16:30

Basel

HOME

RESULT

1 - 3

Lugano

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

19%

Draw

45%

Away

37%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Basel

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Lugano

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

67%

KEY SIGNALS

Lugano 2W in last 2 at away
Basel 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Lugano 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Both teams expected to find the net.

Lugano's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Lugano's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 62%

Basel 1–3 Lugano

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