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Basel 1–2 Thun

Switzerland 1 on 1 February 2026. Thun won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Basel the 58% favourite, so this one went against the model.

SWITZERLAND 1 Sun 1 Feb · 16:30
Basel
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Thun
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
58%
Draw
17%
Away
25%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Basel
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
53%
Thun
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
73%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Basel 3W in last 5
  • Thun 2W in last 2 at away
  • Basel 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Thun 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Basel's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Thun's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 75%