Benfica 3–1 Aarhus AGF

Europa League Qual. on 20 August 2026. Benfica won at home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Benfica the 60% favourite, and that is how it played out.

EUROPA LEAGUE QUAL. Thu 20 Aug · 21:00

Benfica

HOME

RESULT

3 - 1

Aarhus AGF

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

60%

Draw

22%

Away

18%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Benfica

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

87%

WIN%

53%

Aarhus AGF

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Benfica 2W in last 3 at home
Benfica 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Aarhus AGF 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Benfica strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Benfica's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Aarhus AGF's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 65%

Benfica 3–1 Aarhus AGF

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