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Benfica 1–3 Braga

Portugal League Cup on 7 January 2026. Braga won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Benfica the 65% favourite, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL LEAGUE CUP Wed 7 Jan · 21:00
Benfica
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Braga
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
65%
Draw
15%
Away
20%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Benfica
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
100%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
80%
Braga
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Benfica 3W in last 3 at home
  • Benfica 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Braga 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Benfica strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Benfica's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Braga's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 71%