BFC Daugavpils 1–0 Jelgava

Latvia 1 on 16 April 2026. BFC Daugavpils won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Jelgava the 44% favourite, so this one went against the model.

LATVIA 1 Thu 16 Apr · 17:00

BFC Daugavpils

HOME

RESULT

1 - 0

Jelgava

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

36%

Draw

20%

Away

44%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

BFC Daugavpils

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

33%

Jelgava

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

30%

WIN%

10%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

33%

WIN%

KEY SIGNALS

BFC Daugavpils 2W in last 2 at home
BFC Daugavpils 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

BFC Daugavpils's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. BFC Daugavpils's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 57%

BFC Daugavpils 1–0 Jelgava

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