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Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg

UEFA Nations League C on 26 September 2026. Luxembourg won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Bulgaria the 42% favourite, so this one went against the model.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE C Sat 26 Sep · 18:00
Bulgaria
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Luxembourg
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
42%
Draw
30%
Away
28%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Bulgaria
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
73%
Luxembourg
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
0%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
10%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
87%
WIN%
20%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Bulgaria 3W in last 5
  • Bulgaria 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Luxembourg 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.
Bulgaria's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Luxembourg's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 60%