Burnley 1–3 Newcastle

England Premier on 30 December 2025. Newcastle won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Burnley the 43% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND PREMIER Tue 30 Dec · 20:30

Burnley

HOME

RESULT

1 - 3

Newcastle

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

43%

Draw

20%

Away

37%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Burnley

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

10%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

13%

Newcastle

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

47%

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Burnley O2.5 53% last 15, Newcastle O2.5 73% last 15).

Confidence: 65%

Burnley 1–3 Newcastle

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