← Back to predictions

Bury FC 3–3 Gainsborough

England FA Trophy Qual. on 26 September 2026. It finished level at 3–3. Our pre-match analysis made Bury FC the 52% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND FA TROPHY QUAL. Sat 26 Sep · 16:00
Bury FC
HOME
RESULT
3 - 3
Gainsborough
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Bury FC
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
67%
Gainsborough
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Bury FC 4W in last 4 at home
  • Bury FC 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Bury FC strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Bury FC's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Bury FC's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 67%