Buxton 1–2 Merthyr

England National League North on 29 November 2025. Merthyr won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Buxton the 51% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH Sat 29 Nov · 16:00

Buxton

HOME

RESULT

1 - 2

Merthyr

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

51%

Draw

17%

Away

32%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Buxton

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

87%

WIN%

60%

Merthyr

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

70%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

60%

KEY SIGNALS

Merthyr 4W in last 5
Buxton 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Merthyr 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Merthyr's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Merthyr's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 76%

Buxton 1–2 Merthyr

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