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Caen 1–0 Fleury-Merogis

France National on 6 February 2026. Caen won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Fleury-Merogis the 44% favourite, so this one went against the model.

FRANCE NATIONAL Fri 6 Feb · 19:30
Caen
HOME
RESULT
1 - 0
Fleury-Merogis
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
33%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Caen
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
20%
Fleury-Merogis
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Fleury-Merogis 3W in last 5
  • Fleury-Merogis strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Fleury-Merogis's strong recent away form makes them dangerous.
Confidence: 58%