Cardiff City 1–0 Exeter

England League 1 on 26 December 2025. Cardiff City won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Exeter the 44% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND LEAGUE 1 Fri 26 Dec · 16:00

Cardiff City

HOME

RESULT

1 - 0

Exeter

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

39%

Draw

17%

Away

44%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

90%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

53%

Exeter

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

50%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

53%

KEY SIGNALS

Cardiff City 2W in last 3 at home
Exeter 3W in last 5
Cardiff City 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Exeter 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Cardiff City's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Exeter's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 69%

Cardiff City 1–0 Exeter

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