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Cerro 1–0 Defensor Sporting

Uruguay 1 on 5 April 2026. Cerro won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Defensor Sporting the 44% favourite, so this one went against the model.

URUGUAY 1 Sun 5 Apr · 20:30
Cerro
HOME
RESULT
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
40%
Draw
16%
Away
44%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Cerro
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
10%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
27%
Defensor Sporting
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
10%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
20%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Cerro O2.5 33% last 15, Defensor Sporting O2.5 40% last 15).
Confidence: 59%