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Charlotte Independence 3–1 Sarasota Paradise

USA USL League One on 16 August 2026. Charlotte Independence won at home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 42%, so this one went against the model.

USA USL LEAGUE ONE Sun 16 Aug · 01:00
Charlotte Independence
HOME
RESULT
3 - 1
Sarasota Paradise
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
40%
Draw
42%
Away
18%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Charlotte Independence
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
67%
Sarasota Paradise
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
0%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Charlotte Independence 3W in last 4 at home
  • Charlotte Independence 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Clean sheet potential in this matchup.
Charlotte Independence's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Charlotte Independence's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 56%