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Chatham 0–1 Southend

England FA Trophy on 31 January 2026. Southend won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Chatham the 49% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND FA TROPHY Sat 31 Jan · 16:00
Chatham
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Southend
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
49%
Draw
13%
Away
39%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Chatham
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
67%
Southend
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Chatham 3W in last 5
  • Southend 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Chatham strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Chatham's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Southend's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 65%