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Chaves 2–3 Maritimo

Portugal 2 on 11 January 2026. Maritimo won away from home, 3–2. Our pre-match analysis made Chaves the 47% favourite, so this one went against the model.

PORTUGAL 2 Sun 11 Jan · 15:00
Chaves
HOME
RESULT
2 - 3
Maritimo
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
47%
Draw
25%
Away
28%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Chaves
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
13%
WIN%
53%
Maritimo
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
27%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Chaves 3W in last 5
  • Maritimo 2W in last 2 at away
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Chaves strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • Maritimo strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Chaves's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 61%