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Chicago Fire 2–3 Cincinnati FC

USA MLS on 3 May 2026. Cincinnati FC won away from home, 3–2. Our pre-match analysis made Chicago Fire the 57% favourite, so this one went against the model.

USA MLS Sun 3 May · 02:30
Chicago Fire
HOME
RESULT
2 - 3
Cincinnati FC
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
57%
Draw
15%
Away
28%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Chicago Fire
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
47%
Cincinnati FC
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Chicago Fire 2W in last 3 at home
  • Chicago Fire 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Chicago Fire's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Chicago Fire's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 83%