Ecuador 2–1 Germany

World Cup on 25 June 2026. Ecuador won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Germany the 38% favourite, so this one went against the model.

WORLD CUP Thu 25 Jun · 22:00

Ecuador

HOME

RESULT

2 - 1

Germany

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

32%

Draw

31%

Away

38%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Ecuador

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

44%

WIN%

22%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

44%

WIN%

22%

Germany

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

60%

KEY SIGNALS

Germany 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches

VERDICT

Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.

Germany's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 59%

Ecuador 2–1 Germany

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