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Ethiopia 0–1 Senegal

Africa Cup of Nations Qual. on 29 September 2026. Senegal won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis made Senegal the 40% favourite, and that is how it played out.

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUAL. Tue 29 Sep · 15:00
Ethiopia
HOME
RESULT
0 - 1
Senegal
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
37%
Draw
22%
Away
40%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Ethiopia
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
22%
WIN%
44%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
22%
WIN%
44%
Senegal
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
90%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
67%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Ethiopia 2W in last 3 at home
  • Senegal 2W in last 4 at away
  • Senegal 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Ethiopia strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Ethiopia's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Senegal's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 63%