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Everton 3–3 Manchester City

England Premier on 4 May 2026. It finished level at 3–3. Our pre-match analysis made Manchester City the 64% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND PREMIER Mon 4 May · 21:00
Everton
HOME
RESULT
3 - 3
Manchester City
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
20%
Draw
16%
Away
64%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Everton
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
33%
Manchester City
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
100%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
73%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Manchester City 2W in last 2 at away
  • Everton 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Manchester City 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Manchester City strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Manchester City's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Manchester City's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 71%