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Groningen 2–3 Excelsior

Netherlands 1 on 2 May 2026. Excelsior won away from home, 3–2. Our pre-match analysis made Groningen the 55% favourite, so this one went against the model.

NETHERLANDS 1 Sat 2 May · 18:45
Groningen
HOME
RESULT
2 - 3
Excelsior
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
55%
Draw
19%
Away
25%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Groningen
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
27%
Excelsior
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
13%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Groningen strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 71%