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Guarani 1–3 Ituano

Brazil 3 on 17 May 2026. Ituano won away from home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 48%, so this one went against the model.

BRAZIL 3 Sun 17 May · 23:30
Guarani
HOME
RESULT
1 - 3
Ituano
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
16%
Draw
48%
Away
36%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Guarani
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
13%
WIN%
40%
Ituano
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Guarani 2W in last 3 at home
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Guarani strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.
Guarani's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 55%