Guediawaye 0–1 Ajel de Rufisque

Senegal Ligue 1 on 25 January 2026. Ajel de Rufisque won away from home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 39%, so this one went against the model.

SENEGAL LIGUE 1 Sun 25 Jan · 17:30

Guediawaye

HOME

RESULT

0 - 1

Ajel de Rufisque

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

28%

Draw

39%

Away

33%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Guediawaye

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

30%

WIN%

20%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

27%

WIN%

20%

Ajel de Rufisque

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

13%

WIN%

20%

KEY SIGNALS

Ajel de Rufisque 2W in last 2 at away
Balanced midfield battle expected
Guediawaye strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
Ajel de Rufisque strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.

Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Guediawaye O2.5 27% last 15, Ajel de Rufisque O2.5 13% last 15).

Confidence: 56%

Guediawaye 0–1 Ajel de Rufisque

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