Hartlepool 3–1 Carlisle

England National League on 25 February 2026. Hartlepool won at home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Hartlepool the 40% favourite, and that is how it played out.

ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE Wed 25 Feb · 20:45

Hartlepool

HOME

RESULT

3 - 1

Carlisle

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

40%

Draw

20%

Away

40%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Hartlepool

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

20%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

40%

Carlisle

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

53%

KEY SIGNALS

Carlisle 4W in last 5
Carlisle 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Carlisle's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Carlisle's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 67%

Hartlepool 3–1 Carlisle

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