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Hartlepool 4–3 Southend

England National League on 21 April 2026. Hartlepool won at home, 4–3. Our pre-match analysis made Southend the 44% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE Tue 21 Apr · 20:45
Hartlepool
HOME
RESULT
4 - 3
Southend
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
37%
Draw
20%
Away
44%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Hartlepool
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
40%
Southend
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Southend 3W in last 3 at away
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Southend strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Southend's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 66%