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Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz

Germany Bundesliga on 4 April 2026. Mainz won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Hoffenheim the 51% favourite, so this one went against the model.

GERMANY BUNDESLIGA Sat 4 Apr · 15:30
Hoffenheim
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Mainz
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
51%
Draw
18%
Away
31%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Hoffenheim
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
53%
Mainz
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Mainz 3W in last 5
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Mainz strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Mainz's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 81%