Ilves 3–1 Differdange

Europa Conference League Qual. on 16 July 2026. Ilves won at home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 46%, so this one went against the model.

EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE QUAL. Thu 16 Jul · 18:00

Ilves

HOME

RESULT

3 - 1

Differdange

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

19%

Draw

46%

Away

35%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Ilves

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

47%

Differdange

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

33%

WIN%

53%

KEY SIGNALS

Differdange 3W in last 5
Ilves 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Differdange strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Differdange's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Ilves's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.

Confidence: 57%

Ilves 3–1 Differdange

More matches

Recent results in Europa Conference League Qual.