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Incheon United 4–0 Gwangju

South Korea K League 1 on 16 May 2026. Incheon United won at home, 4–0. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 39%, so this one went against the model.

SOUTH KOREA K LEAGUE 1 Sat 16 May · 12:00
Incheon United
HOME
RESULT
4 - 0
Gwangju
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
31%
Draw
39%
Away
31%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Incheon United
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
33%
Gwangju
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
0%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
0%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
13%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Incheon United strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Incheon United O2.5 53% last 15, Gwangju O2.5 47% last 15).
Confidence: 52%