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Independiente Riv. 4–1 Dep. La Guaira

Copa Libertadores on 1 May 2026. Independiente Riv. won at home, 4–1. Our pre-match analysis made Dep. La Guaira the 37% favourite, so this one went against the model.

COPA LIBERTADORES Fri 1 May · 00:00
Independiente Riv.
HOME
RESULT
4 - 1
Dep. La Guaira
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
36%
Draw
27%
Away
37%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Independiente Riv.
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
70%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
67%
Dep. La Guaira
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
10%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
13%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Independiente Riv. 3W in last 3 at home
  • Dep. La Guaira 2W in last 3 at away
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Independiente Riv. strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • Dep. La Guaira strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Independiente Riv.'s strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 57%