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Independiente 4–4 Union Santa Fe

Argentina Liga Profesional on 10 March 2026. It finished level at 4–4. Our pre-match analysis made Independiente the 57% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL Tue 10 Mar · 23:45
Independiente
HOME
RESULT
4 - 4
Union Santa Fe
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
57%
Draw
23%
Away
21%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Independiente
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
60%
Union Santa Fe
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
50%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Independiente 2W in last 2 at home
  • Union Santa Fe 2W in last 3 at away
  • Union Santa Fe 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Tight encounter with Independiente slight edge at home.
Independiente's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Union Santa Fe's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 57%