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Kenya 1–1 Eritrea

Africa Cup of Nations Qual. on 26 September 2026. It finished level at 1–1. Our pre-match analysis made Kenya the 53% favourite, so this one went against the model.

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS QUAL. Sat 26 Sep · 15:00
Kenya
HOME
RESULT
1 - 1
Eritrea
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
53%
Draw
33%
Away
14%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Kenya
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
90%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
87%
WIN%
47%
Eritrea
Last 5 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
100%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
100%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
100%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Kenya 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Eritrea strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.
Eritrea's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Kenya's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward a low-scoring game.
Confidence: 63%