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Lecce 1–2 Parma

Italy Serie A on 11 January 2026. Parma won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Lecce the 51% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ITALY SERIE A Sun 11 Jan · 12:30
Lecce
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Parma
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
51%
Draw
19%
Away
30%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Lecce
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
27%
Parma
Last 5 Games
O2.5
0%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
27%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Parma strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Lecce O2.5 33% last 15, Parma O2.5 40% last 15).
Confidence: 65%