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Legia 1–2 Korona Kielce

Poland Ekstraklasa on 1 February 2026. Korona Kielce won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Legia the 70% favourite, so this one went against the model.

POLAND EKSTRAKLASA Sun 1 Feb · 17:30
Legia
HOME
RESULT
1 - 2
Korona Kielce
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
70%
Draw
14%
Away
16%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Legia
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
20%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
13%
Korona Kielce
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
33%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Legia 2W in last 5 at home
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
  • Legia strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • Korona Kielce strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Tight encounter with Legia slight edge at home.
Both sides bring recent form into a competitive matchup (Legia O2.5 40% last 15, Korona Kielce O2.5 33% last 15).
Confidence: 70%