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Liepaja 2–1 Super Nova

Latvia 1 on 12 June 2026. Liepaja won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 44%, so this one went against the model.

LATVIA 1 Fri 12 Jun · 18:00
Liepaja
HOME
RESULT
2 - 1
Super Nova
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
43%
Draw
44%
Away
14%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Liepaja
Last 5 Games
O2.5
80%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
33%
Super Nova
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
40%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Liepaja 3W in last 3 at home
  • Liepaja 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Clean sheet potential in this matchup.
Liepaja's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Liepaja's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 60%