Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan

UEFA Nations League D on 27 September 2026. It finished level at 1–1. Our pre-match analysis made Lithuania the 37% favourite, so this one went against the model.

UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE D Sun 27 Sep · 15:00

Lithuania

HOME

RESULT

1 - 1

Azerbaijan

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

37%

Draw

32%

Away

31%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Lithuania

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

70%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

27%

Azerbaijan

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

90%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

33%

KEY SIGNALS

Lithuania 2W in last 3 at home
Lithuania 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Azerbaijan 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected

VERDICT

Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.

Azerbaijan's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward a low-scoring game.

Confidence: 62%

Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan

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