Louisville City 4–2 Lexington

USA USL Cup on 12 July 2026. Louisville City won at home, 4–2. Our pre-match analysis made Louisville City the 46% favourite, and that is how it played out.

USA USL CUP Sun 12 Jul · 02:00

Louisville City

HOME

RESULT

4 - 2

Lexington

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

46%

Draw

27%

Away

27%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Louisville City

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

40%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

47%

WIN%

33%

Lexington

Last 5 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

40%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

40%

KEY SIGNALS

Lexington 2W in last 3 at away
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected
Louisville City strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
Lexington strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Both teams expected to find the net.

Lexington's strong recent away form makes them dangerous.

Confidence: 57%

Louisville City 4–2 Lexington

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