Luton 1–2 Swindon

England EFL Trophy on 13 January 2026. Swindon won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Luton the 54% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND EFL TROPHY Tue 13 Jan · 20:00

Luton

HOME

RESULT

1 - 2

Swindon

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

54%

Draw

18%

Away

28%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Luton

Last 5 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

53%

Swindon

Last 5 Games

O2.5

20%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

40%

WIN%

70%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

67%

KEY SIGNALS

Luton 3W in last 3 at home
Swindon 2W in last 3 at away
Luton 80% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Swindon strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Luton's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Luton's 80% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 70%

Luton 1–2 Swindon

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