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Manchester City 3–1 Newcastle

England League Cup on 4 February 2026. Manchester City won at home, 3–1. Our pre-match analysis made Manchester City the 83% favourite, and that is how it played out.

ENGLAND LEAGUE CUP Wed 4 Feb · 21:00
Manchester City
HOME
RESULT
3 - 1
Newcastle
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
83%
Draw
8%
Away
9%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Manchester City
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
40%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
60%
Newcastle
Last 5 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
53%
WIN%
33%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Manchester City 2W in last 2 at home
  • Balanced midfield battle expected
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Predictive models lean toward goals.
Confidence: 86%