Merida AD 3–2 Ourense CF

Spain Primera Div. RFEF Gr.1 on 7 December 2025. Merida AD won at home, 3–2. Our pre-match analysis made Ourense CF the 41% favourite, so this one went against the model.

SPAIN PRIMERA DIV. RFEF GR.1 Sun 7 Dec · 12:00

Merida AD

HOME

RESULT

3 - 2

Ourense CF

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

36%

Draw

23%

Away

41%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Merida AD

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

33%

Ourense CF

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

60%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

53%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Merida AD 2W in last 2 at home
Ourense CF 4W in last 5
Combined recent form shows attacking threat
Balanced midfield battle expected
Merida AD strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Merida AD's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.

Confidence: 54%

Merida AD 3–2 Ourense CF

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