Merthyr 1–2 Chester

England National League North on 10 March 2026. Chester won away from home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Merthyr the 48% favourite, so this one went against the model.

ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH Tue 10 Mar · 20:45

Merthyr

HOME

RESULT

1 - 2

Chester

AWAY

WIN PROBABILITY

Home

48%

Draw

16%

Away

37%

LAST 5

LAST 5

GOAL & WIN STATISTICS

Merthyr

Last 5 Games

O2.5

100%

WIN%

60%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

30%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

73%

WIN%

47%

Chester

Last 5 Games

O2.5

60%

WIN%

80%

Last 10 Games

O2.5

80%

WIN%

50%

Last 15 Games

O2.5

67%

WIN%

47%

KEY SIGNALS

Merthyr 3W in last 5
Chester 4W in last 5
Merthyr 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
Combined recent form shows attacking threat

VERDICT

Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.

Merthyr's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. Merthyr's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely. predictive models lean toward goals.

Confidence: 78%

Merthyr 1–2 Chester

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