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Mexico 2–3 England

World Cup on 6 July 2026. England won away from home, 3–2. Our pre-match analysis made Mexico the 64% favourite, so this one went against the model.

WORLD CUP Mon 6 Jul · 02:00
Mexico
HOME
RESULT
2 - 3
England
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Mexico
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
70%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
73%
WIN%
67%
England
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
67%
WIN%
60%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Mexico 3W in last 3 at home
  • England 3W in last 5
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Tight encounter with Mexico slight edge at home.
Mexico's strong recent home form gives them the advantage.
Confidence: 64%