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Middlesbrough 2–1 Derby County

England Championship on 29 November 2025. Middlesbrough won at home, 2–1. Our pre-match analysis made Middlesbrough the 43% favourite, and that is how it played out.

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP Sat 29 Nov · 16:00
Middlesbrough
HOME
RESULT
2 - 1
Derby County
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
43%
Draw
20%
Away
37%
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Middlesbrough
Last 5 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
20%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
30%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
40%
Derby County
Last 5 Games
O2.5
100%
WIN%
80%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
47%
WIN%
47%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Derby County 3W in last 3 at away
  • Derby County 100% over 2.5 last 5 matches
  • Combined recent form shows attacking threat
VERDICT
Goals on the cards — both attacks in form.
Derby County's strong recent away form makes them dangerous. Derby County's 100% over 2.5 in last 5 ensures goals likely.
Confidence: 62%