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Mirandes 1–0 UD Ourense

Spain Primera Div. RFEF Gr.1 on 5 September 2026. Mirandes won at home, 1–0. Our pre-match analysis had the draw as the single most likely result at 51%, so this one went against the model.

SPAIN PRIMERA DIV. RFEF GR.1 Sat 5 Sep · 16:30
Mirandes
HOME
RESULT
1 - 0
UD Ourense
AWAY
WIN PROBABILITY
Home
24%
Draw
51%
Away
25%
LAST 5
L
1
W
1
W
1
L
1
W
4
LAST 5
L
1
W
2
W
2
W
1
D
0
GOAL & WIN STATISTICS
Mirandes
Last 5 Games
O2.5
20%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
50%
WIN%
40%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
60%
WIN%
40%
UD Ourense
Last 5 Games
O2.5
0%
WIN%
60%
Last 10 Games
O2.5
30%
WIN%
60%
Last 15 Games
O2.5
40%
WIN%
53%
KEY SIGNALS
  • Mirandes 3W in last 5
  • UD Ourense 3W in last 5
  • Mirandes strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
  • UD Ourense strong defense (≤0.8 GA last 5)
VERDICT
Low-scoring affair likely with tight defenses.
Mirandes's strong recent home form gives them the advantage. predictive models lean toward a low-scoring game.
Confidence: 64%